The European Central Bank (ECB) held an emergency monetary policy meeting recently,announcing a critical decision to lower its three key interest rates by 25 basis points—a move that aligns with market anticipations.This adjustment marks the ECB's fourth rate cut this year,following a previous reduction in June.The recently released ECB interest rate resolution reveals that the deposit facility rate has been dropped to 3.0%,the main refinancing operations rate now stands at 3.15%,and the marginal lending facility rate has been set at 3.40%.This decision is part of a broader trend among central banks this week to adopt more accommodative policy measures.The ECB also indicated that the pace of economic recovery will be slower than previously predicted in September.Although there was a rebound in economic growth during the third quarter of this year,various survey indicators suggest a slowdown in growth for the current quarter.The central bank has forecasted a GDP growth rate of 0.7% for 2024,followed by 1.1% in 2025,1.4% in 2026,and 1.3% in 2027,a downward revision from previous estimates of 0.8%,1.3%,and 1.5% respectively.Additionally,the ECB noted that the progress in combating inflation has been steady.They expect an inflation rate of 2.4% for 2024,2.1% for 2025,and 1.9% for 2026,with core inflation projected at 2.9% in 2024,2.3% in 2025,and again at 1.9% in 2026.

Moreover,significant economic data was released on Thursday by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics,capturing widespread attention.Notably,the Producer Price Index (PPI) for November showed a striking year-on-year increase of 3%,significantly surpassing the expected increase of 2.6%,and rising from the previous value of 2.4%.The month-on-month growth stood at 0.4%,setting the largest increase since June,while expectations had forecasted only a 0.2% rise.When excluding food and energy categories,the core PPI for November rose by 3.4%,again exceeding the anticipated 3.2% and the previous month's figure of 3.1%,while month-on-month figures remained at 0.2%,in line with predictions but down from the prior reading of 0.3%.This data presents a nuanced picture of inflation—both positive and negative elements are evident.Upon closer examination,the rise in commodity prices of 0.7% marked the largest increase since February,with the Bureau noting that over 80% of this increase was driven by food prices.Within the food category,egg prices soared by a staggering 55%,while prices for dried vegetables,fresh fruits,and poultry also reflected a broad-based upward trend.The comprehensive service costs recorded a modest rise of 0.2%,hitting a four-month low,and the increase in goods prices,excluding food and energy,was similar.

In an interesting correlation,another piece of data released on the same day indicated that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the first time rose sharply to 242,000,marking the highest level in two months,compared to an estimated 220,000 and the previous figure of 224,000.

Today,several economic indicators warrant attention: Germany's October seasonally adjusted export figures,the United Kingdom's October GDP monthly rate,the October industrial output figures from the UK,the UK's October goods trade balance,alongside the United States' November import price index,and the Canadian October manufacturing sales figures.

The U.S.dollar index showed a noted uptick during the previous trading session,breaching the 107.00 mark and reaching its highest point in 12 trading days,with current trading levels settling around the 107.00 range.Influential factors include the positive non-farm payroll report and commendable CPI figures,which have contributed to a sustained abatement of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations; these conditions have continued to lend support to the dollar's value.Additionally,the ECB’s decision to cut rates as anticipated and signal the possibility of further cuts also served as a significant driver for the dollar index’s ascent.Traders today will closely monitor pressures near the 107.50 resistance level,while support is expected around 106.50.

In regard to the euro against the dollar,the euro experienced a downward trend yesterday,achieving an eight-day low with current trading at approximately 1.0470.As noted,the main factor impacting the euro's weakness is the dollar index’s rise,fueled by favorable economic data that has diminished expectations for a rate cut by the Fed.Furthermore,the ECB's decision to deliver a 25 basis point cut also contributed to this downward pressure on the euro's value.Attention for today is focused on the 1.0550 resistance level,with support found around 1.0400.

The British pound similarly faced downward pressure,dropping below the 1.2700 benchmark and hitting a six-day low of approximately 1.2670.Contributing factors include profit-taking and technical selling around the 1.2800 level which pressured the currency.Yet again,the rise of the dollar index as a result of tempered Fed rate cut expectations has significantly contributed to the pound's weakened state.Nevertheless,expectations for reduced rate cuts by the Bank of England have limited the extent of the pound's slump.Today's focus will be on the 1.2750 resistance level with support expected around 1.2600.